Friday, August 12, 2011

Retail sales up .5% = no double dip!! (BS)

Retail Sales rose .5% in August, .3% exclding higher-priced gasoline.
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Mark Vitner, senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities, said the retail sales number reduces the likelihood of another, "double dip" recession.
"Today’s report is a welcome development that allays concerns about a double-dip recession," he said in a note. ""The U.S. consumer has proven to be remarkably resilient."
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To which one reader commented,
"Retail sales rose in direct proportion to the rise in costs. Food went up 12%. Nothing is going down except for our paychecks."

Thursday, August 11, 2011

AUGUST JOBS REPORT *NOT* GOOD

Nejat Seyhun writing in "The Business Thinker" provides this analysis:
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On closer inspection, however, there is a lot not to like in the August report. First, the civilian non-institutional population increased by 182,000 from June to July, while the overall number of employed actually went down by 38,000. Since the overall working-age population growth has been about 1.8 million over the past year, the economy on average needs to add about 140,000 new jobs to prevent the unemployment rate from increasing. The net additional payroll figure of 117,000 increase is certainly not satisfactory from this perspective.
Second, the decline in unemployment rate is really not driven by the payroll increase. Instead, it is driven by discouraged workers leaving the workforce. In addition to the decline in the total employed, the labor participation rate also declined from 64.1% in June to 63.9% in July. Even with the additional payroll, had labor participation rate held steady from June to July, the unemployment rate would have actually increased to 9.3%.
Third, there are additional dynamics in the labor picture that are discouraging. For instance, over the past year, total labor force has increased by about 318,000. When we look at part-time and full-time groups, we see that full-time labor force has actually declined by 143,000 while the part-time workers have increased by 460,000. Hence, the net increase in total employment is driven by part-time jobs. Increasingly, workers are leaving full-time jobs and taking on part-time jobs.
Fourth, the labor participation rate has been falling steadily, masking the true state of the deteriorating labor situation. Over the past year, about 2.2 million actually people left the workforce due to discouragement. Only a year ago, the labor participation rate was 65.3%. Had this rate held steady over the past year, the current unemployment rate would be announced as nothing less than a whopping 11.0% in July 2011.
Overall, after more than two years into a so-called recovery and trillions of dollar spent in fiscal and monetary stimulus, there is no evidence of recovery in the employment picture. I find this discouraging.
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me, too, Nejat.

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Banks Eat Their Young

(AP) Bank of New York Mellon Corp. said Wed (8-10-11) that it will cut about 1500 jobs, or 3 percent of its work force.The banking industry resorted to layoffs during 2008 and 2009, as the financial crisis pummeled earnings and banks took government bailouts. 2010 provided some relief, and banks even hired back some laid-off workers. But banks have been cutting jobs again in recent months. Goldman Sachs and State Street, among others, announced last week that they would also lay off about 3 percent of their workforces. What makes these cuts different from the layoffs of 2008 and 2009 is that they're coming at a time when many banks are actually posting improved profits.

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Meanwhile on Planet [Standard and less] Poors:

"People are going to feel less rich and that will make them hold back on spending, which would be a further blow to the economy," said Beth Ann Bovino, a senior U.S. economist at Standard and Poor's.
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"Less rich" WTF where do you live b*tch??

Friday, August 5, 2011

GOOD NEWS! No Double-Dip! (BS)

from msnbc.com:
The U.S. may have dodged the double-dip bullet with the latest jobs data...

The government's monthly job report pointed to a surprise uptick in hiring in July. Payrolls expanded by 117,000 as private employers added 154,000 workers and governments cut 37,000 positions in July.

"This is a fabulous number," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. "We're not out of the woods yet, but this is a good sign that we are going to avoid [a double-dip] recession."
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WHAT A TOOL! Blah blah blah BS!

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Consumer Spending Fell "UNEXPECTEDLY" in June

msnbc (c) 8-2-11:
U.S. consumer spending slipped 0.2 percent in June, after edging up 0.1 percent in May. It was the first decline since September 2009. Economists polled by Reuters had expected spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity, to rise 0.2 percent...
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...because they are idiots who can't tell which way the wind is blowing without a compass!

Friday, July 29, 2011

"Shocking"! Economy Not Growing!

msnbc.com:
Washington's spectacular failure to manage the nation's finances [in failing to increase debt ceiling] has raised concerns that a gridlocked government is also powerless to revive a slowing economy.
The latest economic data raised fresh fears that recovery could soon turn back into recession. The nation's gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the economy, rose at an anemic 1.3 percent annual rate in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said Friday.
Revisions to first-quarter data were more alarming. The government now says the economy grew just 0.4 percent in the first three months of the year, not the 1.9 percent gain logged in its previous [totally BS falsified & manipulated] report.

As one observer noted, "shocking". REALLLLY????! To Rip van Winkle, maybe.